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| THAILAND'S KEY ECONOMIC INDICATORS |
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As of September 30, 2011
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| 1. The Thai Economy at a Glance |
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2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
2011 |
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| 1. POPULATION AND EMPLOYMENT |
|
| Population (Mn Persons, Period End) |
63.0 |
63.4 |
63.5 |
63.9 |
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| Unemployment Rate 1/ |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.0 |
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| 2. GDP at 1988 Prices (Bn THB) |
4,259.0 |
4,364.8 |
4,263.1 |
4,596.1 |
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| 2.1 Real GDP (% YoY) |
5.0 |
2.5 |
-2.3 |
7.8 |
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| 2.2 Total Consumption |
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| - Private (% YoY) |
1.8 |
2.9 |
-1.1 |
4.8 |
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| - Public (% YoY) |
9.8 |
3.2 |
7.5 |
6.0 |
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| 2.3 Total Investment |
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| - Private (% YoY) |
0.4 |
3.2 |
-13.1 |
13.8 |
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| - Public (% YoY) |
4.9 |
-4.7 |
2.7 |
-2.2 |
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| 3. LEADING ECONOMIC INDEX (Period Average) |
(Jan-Aug) |
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| (2000=100) |
116.7 |
115.0 |
118.5 |
123.1 |
129.8 |
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| % YoY |
2.6 |
-1.5 |
3.1 |
3.9 |
6.3 |
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| 4. COINCIDENT ECONOMIC INDEX (Period Average) |
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| (2000=100) |
116.1 |
117.8 |
114.7 |
119.8 |
122.0 |
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| % YoY |
0.8 |
1.5 |
-2.6 |
4.4 |
2.1 |
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| 5. MANUFACTURING PRODUCTION INDEX (Period Average) |
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| Integrated Index (NSA)(2000=100) |
172.2 |
178.9 |
166.1 |
190.0 |
196.5 |
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| % YoY |
8.1 |
3.9 |
-7.2 |
14.4 |
-2.2 |
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| 6. PRIVATE CONSUMPTION INDEX (Period Average) |
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| (2000=100) |
126.3 |
130.9 |
127.3 |
134.8 |
140.2 |
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% YoY |
1.5 |
3.6 |
-2.5 |
5.9 |
4.0 |
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| 7. EXTERNAL POSITION (Bn THB) |
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| Export (f.o.b.) |
5,212.2 |
5,831.1 |
5,155.1 |
6,123.3 |
4,707.4 |
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| % YoY |
7.7 |
11.9 |
-11.6 |
18.8 |
17.2 |
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| % YoY (in USD term) |
18.2 |
15.9 |
-14.0 |
28.5 |
25.5 |
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| Import (f.o.b.) |
4,295.4 |
5,255.5 |
4,034.6 |
5,108.3 |
4,084.9 |
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| % YoY |
-0.7 |
22.4 |
-23.2 |
26.6 |
19.6 |
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| % YoY (in USD term) |
9.1 |
26.7 |
-25.2 |
36.7 |
28.1 |
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| Trade Balance |
916.8 |
575.5 |
1,120.4 |
1,015.0 |
622.5 |
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| as % of GDP |
10.8 |
6.3 |
12.4 |
10.0 |
n.a. |
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| Current Account Balance |
539.7 |
67.4 |
754.5 |
428.0 |
306.3 |
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as % of GDP |
6.3 |
0.7 |
8.3 |
4.2 |
n.a. |
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| Balance of Payments |
586.4 |
811.9 |
824.6 |
986.6 |
223.0 |
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| 8. INFLATION RATE |
(Jan-Sep) |
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| 8.1 Headline CPI (% YoY) |
2.3 |
5.5 |
-0.9 |
3.3 |
3.8 |
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| 8.2 Core CPI (% YoY) |
1.1 |
2.4 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
2.2 |
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| 8.3 PPI (% YoY) |
3.3 |
12.4 |
-3.8 |
9.4 |
5.9 |
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| 9. FINANCIAL SECTOR (Period End) (Bn THB) |
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| Other Depository Corporations |
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(Jan-Aug) |
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| - Deposits |
8,530.3 |
9,257.5 |
9,771.1 |
10,625.9 |
11,221.3 |
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| % YoY |
2.3 |
8.5 |
5.5 |
8.7 |
11.6 |
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| - Loans |
7,876.3 |
8,604.2 |
8,863.5 |
9,974.9 |
10,934.6 |
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| % YoY |
4.8 |
9.2 |
3.0 |
12.5 |
17.3 |
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| Securities Other than Shares & Shares and Other Equity |
424.5 |
355.3 |
422.6 |
481.2 |
496.8 |
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| % YoY |
7.6 |
-16.3 |
18.9 |
13.9 |
9.1 |
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| Money Base |
933.8 |
1,039.7 |
1,103.3 |
1,243.3 |
1,219.2 |
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| % YoY |
7.9 |
11.3 |
6.1 |
12.7 |
16.6 |
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| Money Supply (Narrow Money) |
999.9 |
1,041.2 |
1,174.6 |
1,302.4 |
1,345.2 |
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| % YoY |
9.7 |
4.1 |
12.8 |
10.9 |
13.9 |
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| Money Supply (Broad Money) |
9,109.5 |
9,944.3 |
10,617.0 |
11,776.4 |
12,883.9 |
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| % YoY |
6.3 |
9.2 |
6.8 |
10.9 |
17.5 |
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| 10. GOVERNMENT FISCAL POSITION 2/ (FY, Bn THB) |
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| 10.1 Actual Revenue |
1,433.0 |
1,545.8 |
1,409.7 |
1,683.6 |
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| % YoY |
6.9 |
7.9 |
-8.8 |
19.4 |
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| 10.2 Actual Expenditure |
1,520.5 |
1,582.6 |
1,803.0 |
1,712.0 |
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| % YoY |
11.8 |
4.1 |
13.9 |
-5.0 |
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| 11. EXCHANGE RATE |
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| THB/USD (Selling Rate) |
34.6854 |
33.4853 |
34.4728 |
31.8674 |
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| 12. SECURITIES MARKET |
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| SET Index (Close) |
858.1 |
450.0 |
734.5 |
1,032.8 |
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| Market Capitalization (Bn THB) |
6,636.1 |
3,568.2 |
5,873.1 |
8,334.7 |
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| as % of GDP |
84.5 |
41.8 |
65.0 |
82.5 |
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| 1/ as % of Labour Force |
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| 2/ Starting December 2004, Government Agencies Have Migrated Towards "Government Fiscal Management Information System (GFMIS)", |
| Which May Cause Some Data Imperfection During The Transition Period. |
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| Source: (1),(3),(4),(5),(6),(7),(9),(10),(11) Bank of Thailand |
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| (2) Office of the National Economic and Social Development Board |
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| (8) Ministry of Commerce |
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| (12) Stock Exchange of Thailand |
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| 2. Forecast of Thailand's Key Economic Indicators |
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2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
2011f |
2012f |
| GDP at Current Prices (Bn THB) |
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8,525.2 |
9,080.5 |
9,041.6 |
10,104.8 |
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| GDP at 1988 Prices (Bn THB) |
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4,259.0 |
4,364.8 |
4,263.1 |
4,596.1 |
4,761.9 |
4,942.3 |
| % YoY |
|
5.0 |
2.5 |
-2.3 |
7.8 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
| Growth of GDP by Industry at 1988 Prices |
| Agriculture (% YoY) |
|
1.2 |
4.2 |
1.3 |
-2.3 |
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| Manufacturing (% YoY) |
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6.2 |
3.9 |
-6.1 |
13.9 |
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| Construction (% YoY) |
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2.5 |
-5.3 |
0.4 |
6.8 |
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| Others (% YoY) |
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5.5 |
4.0 |
-2.8 |
6.9 |
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| Growth of Key GDP Components at 1988 Prices |
| Total Consumption (% YoY) |
|
2.9 |
2.9 |
0.1 |
5.1 |
3.0 |
3.5 |
| - Private (% YoY) |
|
1.8 |
2.9 |
-1.1 |
4.8 |
3.1 |
3.5 |
| - Government (% YoY) |
|
9.8 |
3.2 |
7.5 |
6.4 |
2.9 |
3.7 |
| Total Investment (% YoY) |
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1.5 |
1.2 |
-9.2 |
9.4 |
6.1 |
3.8 |
| - Private (% YoY) |
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0.4 |
3.2 |
-13.1 |
13.8 |
8.6 |
3.9 |
| - Government (% YoY) |
|
4.9 |
-4.7 |
2.7 |
-2.2 |
-1.3 |
3.5 |
| International Trade |
| Export (Bn USD) |
|
151.3 |
175.2 |
150.7 |
193.7 |
228.0 |
244.4 |
| % YoY |
|
18.2 |
15.9 |
-14.0 |
28.5 |
17.7 |
7.2 |
| Import (Bn USD) |
|
138.5 |
175.6 |
131.4 |
179.6 |
217.4 |
231.6 |
| % YoY |
|
9.1 |
26.8 |
-25.2 |
36.7 |
21.0 |
6.6 |
| Inflation Rate (% YoY) |
| Headline Consumer Price Index |
|
2.2 |
5.5 |
-0.8 |
3.3 |
3.7 |
3.3 |
| Core Consumer Price Index |
|
1.1 |
2.4 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
2.2 |
1.8 |
| Money Supply and Interest Rates (% pa) |
| Money Supply (Broad Money) |
|
6.3 |
9.2 |
6.8 |
10.9 |
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| Deposit Rate (Fixed 12 M, Period End) |
|
2.375 |
1.75 |
0.75 |
1.25 |
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| Minimum Overdraft Rate (Period End) |
|
7.125 |
7.0 |
6.125 |
6.375 |
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| External Position |
| Trade Balance (Bn USD) |
|
12.8 |
-0.4 |
19.4 |
14.1 |
10.6 |
12.7 |
| % of GDP |
|
4.8 |
-0.1 |
7.4 |
4.4 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
| Current Account Balance (Bn USD) |
|
15.7 |
2.2 |
21.9 |
14.8 |
16.5 |
17.5 |
| % of GDP |
|
5.9 |
0.8 |
8.3 |
4.7 |
4.6 |
4.4 |
| Exchange Rate (THB/USD) |
|
34.7 |
33.5 |
34.5 |
31.9 |
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| Tourism |
| Number of Tourist Arrivals (Mn Persons) |
|
14.5 |
14.6 |
14.1 |
15.8 |
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| % YoY |
|
4.6 |
0.8 |
-3.0 |
12.0 |
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| Revenue (Bn THB) |
|
547.8 |
574.5 |
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| % YoY |
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13.6 |
4.9 |
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| Number of Outbound Thai Tourists (Mn Persons) |
|
4.0 |
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| % YoY |
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18.8 |
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| Commercial Bank (Bn THB) |
| Deposits |
|
6,513.7 |
7,066.6 |
7,064.2 |
7,457.3 |
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| % YoY |
|
-0.3 |
8.5 |
0.0 |
5.6 |
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| Credits |
|
5,586.4 |
6,197.3 |
6,080.0 |
6,681.4 |
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| % YoY |
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3.6 |
10.9 |
-1.9 |
9.9 |
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| Credits / Deposits (%) |
|
85.8 |
87.7 |
86.1 |
89.6 |
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| Fiscal Position (FY, Bn THB) |
| Estimated Revenue |
|
1,566.2 |
1,660.0 |
1,951.7 |
1,700.0 |
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| % YoY |
|
15.2 |
6.0 |
17.6 |
-12.9 |
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| Budgetary Expenditure |
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1,566.2 |
1,660.0 |
1,951.7 |
1,700.0 |
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| % YoY |
|
15.2 |
6.0 |
17.6 |
-12.9 |
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| Capital Expenditure |
|
374.7 |
400.5 |
430.0 |
214.4 |
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| % YoY |
|
4.6 |
6.9 |
7.4 |
-50.1 |
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| Actual Revenue |
|
1,432.8 |
1,545.8 |
1,409.7 |
1,683.6 |
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| % YoY |
|
6.9 |
7.9 |
-8.8 |
19.4 |
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| Actual Expenditure |
|
1,520.5 |
1,582.5 |
1,803.0 |
1,712.0 |
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| % YoY |
|
11.8 |
4.1 |
13.9 |
-5.0 |
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| Budgetary Balance |
|
-87.7 |
-36.7 |
-393.3 |
-28.4 |
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| Cash Balance |
|
-94.2 |
-24.0 |
-420.3 |
-200.5 |
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| % of GDP |
|
-1.1 |
-0.3 |
-4.7 |
-2.0 |
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| Source: Office of the National Economic and Social Development Board |
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| Source : Bangkok Bank |
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